Top Scorer Predictions for this World Cup

Top Scorer Predictions for this World Cup

The World Cup is here and questions regarding the future recipient of the Golden Boot award already started to occur. Some of the top scorers in football right now, like Erling Haaland, Alexander Isaak, Ciro Immobile, Roberto Firmino, and Ivan Toney will miss this World Cup. The fans of this beautiful game can relax and enjoy the World Cup as there are plenty of world-class strikers ready to score goals.

Golden Boot predictions for this World Cup

Here are the top favorites to win the Golden Boot this year.

Prediction 1: Kylian Mbappe @ 2/5 (1.40)

Everything about Kylian Mbappe screams “champion”. He’s the focal point of attack in the French national team. The same way he is in PSG. That’s why he’s the top scorer for both PSG and France.

Coach Didier Deschamps didn’t brood about it too long. After Karim Benzema got injured, the decision was easy – Kylian Mbappe up front with Olivier Giroud providing him spaces to run.

It’s the recipe to success for France so far as Kylian Mbappe scored five goals in five games and will most likely keep the fire going with a lovely display against Morocco. What are the chances he’ll have a quiet game again? He didn’t impress in the match versus England. It’s time for him to step up his game.

Prediction 2: Lionel Messi @ 11/4 (3.75)

When you have playmaker-in-chief Lionel Messi on your squad, you don’t have too many issues in deciding your starting XI. La Pulga is a generational player, a talent that comes once in a lifetime. He’s not your run-of-the-mill goal-scorer as his role in the teams he plays in transcends standard goalscoring.

He’s the heart and soul of Argentina and is responsible for both scoring and creating goals for his team. Such players are a nightmare to face and while he is in tremendous form, it’s more likely for Kylian Mbappe to get his hands on the award this time.

As we stated, Lionel Messi’s role is not simply scoring goals. He has to create. To do that, he has to drop back during the game. Furthermore, he doesn’t have quite as good teammates as Kylian Mbappe does. The 23-year-old French player is being fed amazing passes the whole game long while Lionel Messi has very few to work with.

Prediction 3: Olivier Giroud @ 8/1 (9.00)

It’s an honor for Olivier Giroud to even be associated with the likes of Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe. Sure, his chances of winning the top goal-scorer award this season in the World Cup don’t look promising but he remains one of the best strikers of our generation and we are lucky to see him play.

He has been AC Milan’s top scorer this season and he kept the fire going in Qatar as well. While Kylian Mbappe had a quiet game versus England, it was Olivier Giroud who was above everyone else. His lovely second-half header was the decision-maker in the game against the Three Lions and we can’t wait to see him against the well-organized Moroccan defense.

He’s tied with Lionel Messi for 2nd place in the goal-scoring department as both of them found the net on four occasions. He’s not the star in the attack for France and that might be the thing that wins Kylian Mbappe the award.

World Cup 2022 – Golden boot odds

There is one thing that all bookmakers agree on and that’s the fact that Harry Kane is the number one favourite to win. All top scorer predictions suggest that he will take another Golden Boot trophy back to England. Betfair has the English striker at 7/1 (8.0) odds to be the top goalscorer. William Hill goes a step further by backing Kane at 8/1 (9.0) odds. Kylian Mbappe is the second choice for all bookmakers. William Hill is backing him at 9/1 (10.0) odds. Betfair has more faith in PSG’s star and backs him to win the Golden Boot at 8/1 (9.0) odds.

Player Best Odds by

Kylian Mbappe

2/5 (1.40)

Lionel Messi

11/4 (3.75)

Olivier Giroud

8/1 (9.00)

Julian Alvarez

249/1 (250.00)

Andrej Kramaric

499/1 (500.00)

This is where bookmakers go on their separate way when it comes to top scorer predictions. William Hill has Benzema as the next most viable option at 12/1 (13.0) odds. William Hill agrees with that but the odds are 10/1 (11.0). However, Betfair believes that Neymar and Benzema both have an equal shot at taking home the Golden Boot trophy. They are both backed at 12/1 (13.0) odds. On the other hand, Betfair put Neymar behind Benzema and Lionel Messi on the list of favourites. Their odds are 14/1 (15.0) for the Brazilian talisman to outscore everyone.

Lastly, we must discuss the two best players in football history. The world cup in Qatar might be the end of the road for both Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo. They are not expected to feature in the next tournament. Because of that, both of them will try to bring home some individual or team awards. Argentina has a strong and compact squad and they are expected to challenge for the world cup title. Since Messi is on both freekicks and penalties, most bookmakers are backing him at 14/1 (15.0) odds to win the Golden Boot. On the other hand, Cristiano Ronaldo features in a talent-heavy Portugal side. With so many great players around him, the best goalscorer in international football history is also a candidate for the Golden Boot. Bookmakers have him anywhere from 14/1 (15.0) to 16/1 (17.0) odds to outscore the competition.

Top scorer predictions – History of the Golden Boot trophy

Being a top scorer during a world cup is a dream for every attacking player out there. Every edition of the tournament going all the way back to 1930 gave an award to the best goalscorer. Officially, the trophy was created back in 1982 and was known as the Golden Shoe. Players who scored the most goals in world cup editions before that are recognized as winners as well. In 2010 the reward got a new name and has been called the Golden Boot ever since. Argentinian Guillermo Stabile is the first player in history to win the Golden Boot. He scored eight goals at the inaugural edition of the world cup back in 1930.

From that point up until the 1994 world cup, several players could share the Golden Boot. It was changed in 1994 and a tie-breaker was introduced. If two or more players score the same amount of goals, the one who had more assists will win the trophy. It didn’t quite work out as in that same world cup Oleg Salenko and Hristo Stoichkov shared the reward. Both of them scored six goals and had one assist. In 2006, another tie-breaker was added to the list. If two players had the same amount of goals and assists, the one who played fewer minutes will get the trophy.

No player in football history has won this award more than once. Looking at most top scorer predictions, it might happen during the world cup 2022. Harry Kane who won the trophy back in 2018 is once again among the favourites to win this coveted prize.


Who is the Golden Boot favourite?

According to top scorer predictions, Harry Kane is the favourite to win the 2022 Golden Boot trophy.

Who won the last Golden Boot trophy?

Harry Kane is also the player who won the Golden Boot in 2018.

Which player holds the record for most goals at a world cup?

Miroslav Klose holds this record with 16 goals. However, Ronaldo can overtake him in Qatar as he already has 15 goals to his name.

Which nations are the favourites to lift the world cup trophy?

Brazil is the main favourite to win it all followed by France, England, Argentina, and Spain.

Full Prediction:
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